Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.333656 17.345764 19.595397 22.310718 25.517457 29.206331 33.803182
2025-09-21 12.025734 14.438129 17.349421 21.165606 26.102071 32.365016 41.064483
2025-09-28 10.283774 12.839293 16.084390 20.585767 26.795623 35.258545 48.024277
2025-10-05 10.178489 13.203492 17.243199 23.177223 31.929247 44.804487 66.081276
2025-10-12 9.546917 12.749653 17.195388 24.025816 34.654747 51.308047 81.053480
2025-10-19 8.602108 11.737435 16.216814 23.336858 34.883753 53.895450 90.059680
2025-10-26 8.192397 11.435878 16.214464 24.094739 37.468888 60.750321 108.370244
2025-11-02 7.586005 10.778093 15.595213 23.773591 38.169938 64.400333 121.427570
2025-11-09 7.040289 10.160050 14.969489 23.351048 38.603654 67.592183 134.364754
2025-11-16 6.594226 9.656624 14.473495 23.079562 39.250686 71.282014 149.459976
2025-11-23 6.129615 9.086586 13.816701 22.447658 39.116442 73.340194 161.269236
2025-11-30 5.798053 8.704936 13.437487 22.266548 39.822879 77.292725 179.165158
2025-12-07 5.332463 8.087184 12.635461 21.273525 38.862310 77.618361 188.117731
2025-12-14 4.896731 7.492506 11.831734 20.204244 37.617811 77.111361 194.751534
2025-12-21 4.586754 7.088173 11.328162 19.656783 37.402837 79.011992 209.489366
2025-12-28 4.749651 7.497648 12.297182 22.099607 44.132775 99.822258 296.686473
2026-01-04 4.659716 7.458936 12.445483 22.898583 47.263484 112.150118 362.320517
2026-01-11 4.388650 7.080711 11.930541 22.249941 46.814782 114.276596 388.378943
2026-01-18 4.306934 7.037285 12.045726 22.963458 49.863464 127.611554 473.099484
2026-01-25 4.111290 6.773445 11.715092 22.661153 50.260220 132.850876 523.611586
2026-02-01 3.919343 6.505491 11.357756 22.263304 50.347084 137.141316 572.970601
2026-02-08 3.756347 6.282563 11.074676 22.007626 50.786215 142.793448 635.358839
2026-02-15 3.568987 6.003982 10.662020 21.412335 50.195338 144.694075 677.239267